Polls

Every national poll filed in the official register: how support is moving, how far the pollsters sit from each other, and each poll in full.

How the polls have moved

Voting intention for the general election, Italy, as a percentage filed by each pollster. 11 parties, 184 national polls from 26 January 2026 to 21 September 2026.

one deposited poll
middle poll of those within 28 days
the middle half of the polls

The band covers the middle half of the polls taken in those days: a quarter fall below it, a quarter above, and the line is the middle one. It is how far the pollsters are from each other, not a margin of error. It is the distance that matters more, because it also takes in how each pollster models who will actually turn out and what it does with the undecided — neither of which a sampling margin covers. The polls furthest from the rest stay visible, as dots outside the band. Where fewer than five polls asked about a party in those days the band breaks, because among so few the middle half would still be decided by the lowest and the highest: the line carries on, and the band resumes once there are enough polls again. Where nobody polled a party at all, both stop. Two overlapping bands do not mean the two parties are level.

Each poll sits on the last day of its fieldwork, not its publication date. The vertical axis starts at zero.

Coalition totals, undecided and abstaining voters are excluded, as are lists that do not appear consistently.

View data as a table

For each party: the middle poll of those taken in those days and, in brackets, the band covering the middle half of them. They are the same numbers the chart is drawn from, so where fewer than five polls were taken only the first number remains, just as the band breaks there.

Week	Polls	AVS	M5S	PD	+Europa	IV	Az	Cd'I-NM	FI	Lega	FdI	FN
26/01	11	7 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	23 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–2)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	9 (8–9)	8 (8–8)	30 (29–30)	3 (3–4)
02/02	19	6 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	22 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–2)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	9 (8–9)	8 (7–8)	30 (29–30)	3 (3–4)
09/02	25	6 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	22 (22–23)	2 (2–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	9 (8–9)	8 (7–8)	30 (29–30)	3 (3–4)
16/02	24	6 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	22 (22–22)	2 (2–2)	2 (2–2)	3 (3–4)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	8 (7–8)	29 (28–30)	3 (3–4)
23/02	27	7 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	22 (22–22)	2 (2–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (6–8)	29 (28–30)	3 (3–4)
02/03	21	7 (6–7)	12 (12–12)	22 (22–22)	2 (2–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–4)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (6–8)	29 (29–30)	3 (3–4)
09/03	17	7 (6–7)	12 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–4)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–8)	7 (7–8)	29 (29–30)	3 (3–3)
16/03	17	7 (6–7)	12 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (29–30)	3 (3–3)
23/03	14	6 (6–7)	12 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	3 (3–3)
30/03	19	7 (6–7)	12 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	3 (3–4)
06/04	26	6 (6–7)	12 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	3 (3–4)
13/04	29	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	4 (3–4)
20/04	27	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	4 (3–4)
27/04	28	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	4 (3–4)
04/05	27	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (2–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	29 (28–29)	4 (3–4)
11/05	25	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–23)	2 (2–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	28 (28–29)	4 (3–4)
18/05	30	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	28 (28–29)	4 (4–4)
25/05	29	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	2 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–8)	28 (28–29)	4 (4–4)
01/06	31	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	1 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (8–9)	7 (7–7)	28 (28–29)	4 (4–5)
08/06	34	6 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	22 (22–22)	1 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–9)	7 (6–7)	28 (28–29)	5 (4–5)
15/06	29	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	22 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	7 (6–7)	28 (28–29)	5 (5–5)
22/06	29	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	22 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (6–7)	28 (28–29)	5 (5–6)
29/06	26	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	22 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–9)	6 (6–7)	28 (27–29)	6 (5–6)
06/07	22	6 (6–6)	13 (13–13)	22 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–7)	28 (27–28)	6 (6–6)
13/07	20	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	21 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–7)	27 (27–28)	6 (6–7)
20/07	23	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	21 (21–22)	1 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–7)	27 (26–28)	7 (6–7)
27/07	18	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	21 (21–22)	1 (1–2)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–7)	27 (26–27)	7 (6–7)
03/08	14	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	21 (21–22)	1 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	7 (7–7)
10/08	10	6 (6–7)	13 (13–13)	21 (21–21)	1 (1–1)	3 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	7 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–28)	7 (7–8)
17/08	8	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–22)	1 (1–1)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	7 (7–7)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	8 (7–8)
24/08	12	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–22)	1 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	7 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	8 (7–8)
31/08	19	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	7 (7–8)
07/09	23	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	7 (7–8)
14/09	20	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–22)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	7 (7–8)
21/09	14	7 (6–7)	13 (12–13)	21 (21–21)	2 (1–2)	2 (2–3)	3 (3–3)	1 (1–1)	8 (7–8)	6 (5–6)	27 (26–27)	7 (7–8)

Source — all the sources this site uses: Presidenza del Consiglio dei ministri — Dipartimento per l’informazione e l’editoria (sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it) — opens in a new tab · Retrieved 23 September 2026

How far the pollsters sit from each other

Each pollster’s average deviation from the average of the other pollsters’ polls taken in the same days, party by party, in percentage points. 184 national polls from 15 pollsters, 26 January 2026 to 21 September 2026; 10 of them have enough polls for a row.

The widest gap is on Fratelli d'Italia: 3.9 points separate the pollster that puts it highest from the one that puts it lowest — as much as a single poll’s declared margin of error (3.1 points). Averaging more polls does not shrink it. The gap is measured in percentage points and grows with the size of the party, so the party named here is almost always the largest one.

A systematic deviation is not a political preference: it comes from method — who is in the sampling frame, how likely-to-vote is modelled, what is done with the undecided, whether the interview is by telephone or on the web. The figures are the ones deposited, not rescaled: a pollster that spreads the undecided differently arrives at a different total, and the recognised parties add up to between 93.6% and 98.4% depending on the pollster.

below the averageabove the average

-0.6 or lessunder 0.2+0.6 or more

could just be chance

Colour is the deviation: purple where the pollster puts the party below the average of the others, orange where it puts it above, grey where the difference is small. Hatched cells are the ones where the pollster sits closer to the others than its own average is precise: the difference is there, but it could come from chance rather than from its method. Empty cells are the ones with too few polls to say anything.

A party’s deviation is the difference between one pollster’s figure and the average of the other pollsters’ polls taken within 10 days either side; the cell is the average of those deviations, and recent polls count for more — the weight halves every 90 days. Pollsters ordered by how many of their polls entered the calculation, most first, and never by size of deviation. Parties in the conventional left-to-right order.

Empty cells are the ones where the pollster filed fewer than 5 polls covering that party. 5 pollsters with fewer than 5 polls in the calculation are not shown. Not shown, for thin coverage: Sud Chiama Nord. A near-empty column would say nothing about the deviation.

View data as a table

Pollster	Party	Deviation	From / to	Polls
SWG	AVS	+0.2	+0.2 … +0.3	27
	M5S	+0.2	0.0 … +0.4	27
	PD	-0.1	-0.3 … +0.1	27
	+Europa	-0.2	-0.2 … -0.1	27
	IV	0.0	-0.1 … +0.1	27
	Az	+0.3	+0.2 … +0.5	27
	Cd'I-NM	0.0	0.0 … +0.1	27
	FI	-0.5	-0.7 … -0.4	27
	Lega	-0.8	-1.0 … -0.6	27
	FdI	+0.3	0.0 … +0.5	27
	FN	+0.2	+0.1 … +0.3	26
Termometro Politico	AVS	-0.2	-0.3 … -0.1	26
	M5S	+0.1	-0.1 … +0.3	26
	PD	+0.2	+0.1 … +0.3	26
	+Europa	+0.2	+0.2 … +0.3	26
	IV	0.0	0.0 … +0.1	26
	Az	-0.1	-0.2 … 0.0	26
	Cd'I-NM	0.0	0.0 … 0.0	26
	FI	-0.2	-0.3 … -0.1	26
	Lega	-0.1	-0.2 … +0.1	26
	FdI	+0.4	+0.2 … +0.6	26
	FN	-0.3	-0.5 … 0.0	25
Only Numbers	AVS	+0.1	+0.1 … +0.2	25
	M5S	-1.1	-1.3 … -0.9	25
	PD	+0.2	-0.1 … +0.5	25
	+Europa	+0.1	-0.1 … +0.2	25
	IV	0.0	-0.1 … +0.1	25
	Az	+0.3	+0.2 … +0.3	25
	Cd'I-NM	-0.2	-0.3 … -0.1	25
	FI	+0.4	+0.3 … +0.5	25
	Lega	+1.0	+0.8 … +1.1	25
	FdI	0.0	-0.2 … +0.3	25
	FN	-0.1	-0.3 … 0.0	25
Emg	AVS	-0.3	-0.4 … -0.1	24
	M5S	+0.1	-0.1 … +0.2	24
	PD	-0.3	-0.5 … 0.0	24
	+Europa	+0.2	+0.1 … +0.3	22
	IV	+0.1	0.0 … +0.2	24
	Az	-0.5	-0.6 … -0.4	24
	Cd'I-NM	+0.6	+0.6 … +0.7	22
	FI	+0.6	+0.5 … +0.8	24
	Lega	+1.3	+1.1 … +1.6	24
	FdI	-2.0	-2.3 … -1.6	24
	FN	+0.1	-0.2 … +0.4	24
Tecnè	AVS	-0.2	-0.3 … 0.0	20
	M5S	+0.1	-0.1 … +0.2	21
	PD	0.0	-0.2 … +0.1	21
	+Europa	-0.2	-0.3 … -0.1	20
	IV	-0.2	-0.2 … -0.1	21
	Az	0.0	-0.1 … 0.0	20
	Cd'I-NM	-0.1	-0.1 … -0.1	19
	FI	+0.8	+0.7 … +1.0	21
	Lega	-0.1	-0.1 … 0.0	21
	FdI	+1.3	+1.1 … +1.5	21
	FN	-0.6	-0.8 … -0.4	20
LAB21	AVS	-0.6	-0.7 … -0.4	16
	M5S	+1.3	+1.1 … +1.5	16
	PD	-1.5	-1.7 … -1.3	16
	+Europa	+0.5	+0.4 … +0.6	16
	IV	+0.3	+0.2 … +0.4	16
	Az	+0.1	+0.1 … +0.2	16
	Cd'I-NM	-0.3	-0.3 … -0.2	15
	FI	-0.9	-1.2 … -0.7	16
	Lega	-0.2	-0.5 … +0.2	16
	FdI	+1.9	+1.4 … +2.5	16
	FN	+0.1	-0.2 … +0.3	16
BiDiMedia	AVS	+0.3	+0.1 … +0.4	12
	M5S	-0.3	-0.8 … +0.3	12
	PD	+0.2	-0.1 … +0.6	12
	+Europa	-0.5	-0.5 … -0.4	12
	IV	-0.3	-0.5 … -0.2	12
	Az	-0.2	-0.4 … -0.1	12
	Cd'I-NM	-0.3	-0.4 … -0.2	12
	FI	-0.5	-0.7 … -0.3	12
	Lega	-0.8	-1.0 … -0.6	12
	FdI	-0.8	-1.1 … -0.4	12
	FN	+0.2	0.0 … +0.5	12
Youtrend	AVS	0.0	-0.5 … +0.5	10
	M5S	+0.1	-0.8 … +0.9	10
	PD	+0.5	-0.1 … +1.0	10
	+Europa	-0.1	-0.4 … +0.3	10
	IV	-0.2	-0.5 … 0.0	10
	Az	+0.7	+0.3 … +1.0	10
	Cd'I-NM	-0.1	-0.3 … +0.1	10
	FI	-0.1	-0.4 … +0.3	10
	Lega	-1.1	-1.4 … -0.8	10
	FdI	-0.6	-1.2 … +0.1	10
	FN	+0.7	+0.3 … +1.0	10
Winpoll	AVS	+1.2	+0.4 … +2.0	6
	M5S	-1.3	-2.1 … -0.5	6
	PD	+0.9	+0.4 … +1.4	6
	+Europa	-0.2	-0.5 … +0.2	6
	IV	+0.3	-0.1 … +0.7	6
	Az	-0.7	-1.2 … -0.2	6
	Cd'I-NM	—	—	—
	FI	-0.1	-0.5 … +0.3	6
	Lega	-0.2	-1.1 … +0.7	6
	FdI	-1.3	-2.5 … -0.2	6
	FN	+0.3	-0.3 … +0.9	5
Sigma Consulting - Piave Digital Agency	AVS	-0.2	-0.9 … +0.4	5
	M5S	+0.7	-0.7 … +2.1	5
	PD	-0.3	-0.8 … +0.2	5
	+Europa	-0.1	-0.6 … +0.5	5
	IV	+0.1	-0.5 … +0.7	5
	Az	+0.2	-1.3 … +1.7	5
	Cd'I-NM	0.0	-0.1 … +0.1	5
	FI	0.0	-1.1 … +1.1	5
	Lega	0.0	-0.5 … +0.6	5
	FdI	-1.2	-2.7 … +0.2	5
	FN	+0.9	-0.8 … +2.6	5

The most recently filed polls

Each poll is reproduced as the pollster filed it — percentages are not normalised, the question is quoted verbatim. Art. 8, comma 3 of law 28/2000 asks for eight indications: seven are below for every poll, and the eighth — the response rate per question — is not among the register’s fields.

The pale bar is an indicative band: the margin the pollster declares for the poll as a whole, drawn the same width for every party. Overlapping bands do not show that two parties are level.

The centre-right in government is Fratelli d’Italia, Forza Italia, Lega and Noi Moderati; the centre-left is the PD with the M5S, AVS and +Europa — the grouping the pollsters themselves file alongside the percentages. Italia Viva and Futuro Nazionale are shown both in and out, because their side is still an open question. Alliances are fixed when the lists are filed (art. 14-bis, d.P.R. 361/1957), and until then they can change.

SWG S.p.A.

16 September 2026 – 21 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: La7

Se dovesse votare oggi alle elezioni nazionali, a quale dei seguenti partiti darebbe il suo voto più probabilmente?

Published: 21 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.6%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 44.0%
Centre-right40.4%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.4%
Unaligned7.6%Az · Avanti PSI · other lists

FdI27.1% ± 2.8Indicative band: 24.3% to 29.9%.
PD20.8% ± 2.8Indicative band: 18.0% to 23.6%.
M5S12.8% ± 2.8Indicative band: 10.0% to 15.6%.
FN8.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 5.2% to 10.8%.
FI7.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 4.2% to 9.8%.
AVS6.5% ± 2.8Indicative band: 3.7% to 9.3%.
Lega5.3% ± 2.8Indicative band: 2.5% to 8.1%.
Az3.1% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.3% to 5.9%.
IV2.4% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.2%.
+Europa1.5% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.3%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 3.8%.
Avanti PSI1.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 3.8%.

Totals and other entries

Rows filed alongside the parties that are not parties: coalition totals, abstainers, undecided voters, residual buckets and lines belonging to the deposit form itself. Adding them to the lists would take the total well past 100%.

Non Si Esprime28.0%
Altre Liste3.5%

Collection and processing: sondaggio realizzato con tecnica di rilevazione online CAWI, telefonica CATI e CAMI
How the sample was formed: stratificato per zona di residenza e quote per età e genere e ponderato successivamente per le variabili di età, genere, zona di residenza, studio e voto alle ultime elezioni europee
People interviewed: Consistenza numerica campione intervistati: 1200 intervistati, 4336 non rispondenti
Reference universe: italiana maggiorenne
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Sigma Consulting - Piave Digital Agency

14 September 2026 – 18 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: Piave Digital Agency

Se domenica dovesse votare per le elezioni politiche nazionali (Camera dei Deputati), a quale lista/partito darebbe il suo voto più probabilmente?

Published: 22 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.2%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 43.7%
Centre-right40.1%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.2%
Unaligned8.1%Az · other lists

FdI25.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 22.3% to 29.3%.
PD20.9% ± 3.5Indicative band: 17.4% to 24.4%.
M5S12.7% ± 3.5Indicative band: 9.2% to 16.2%.
FN8.1% ± 3.5Indicative band: 4.6% to 11.6%.
FI7.3% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.8% to 10.8%.
AVS6.1% ± 3.5Indicative band: 2.6% to 9.6%.
Lega5.9% ± 3.5Indicative band: 2.4% to 9.4%.
Az3.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.3% to 7.3%.
IV2.5% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 6.0%.
+Europa1.5% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.0%.
Cd'I-NM1.1% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.6%.

Totals and other entries

Altre liste:4.3%

Collection and processing: CAWI
How the sample was formed: Campione nazionale rappresentativo secondo quote di genere, età, area di residenza, titolo di studio e comportamento di voto
People interviewed: 800 interviste, la metodologia CAWI con panel non permette di sapere quanti siano stati i rifiuti
Reference universe: Popolazione maggiorenne residente in Italia
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Only Numbers

16 September 2026 – 17 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: RTI-Reti Televisive Italiane S.p.A.

Intenzioni di Voto

Published: 18 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left40.3%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 42.4%
Centre-right42.9%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 50.3%
Unaligned7.3%Az · other lists

FdI27.3% ± 3.5Indicative band: 23.8% to 30.8%.
PD20.1% ± 3.5Indicative band: 16.6% to 23.6%.
M5S11.5% ± 3.5Indicative band: 8.0% to 15.0%.
FI7.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 4.3% to 11.3%.
FN7.4% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.9% to 10.9%.
Lega6.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.3% to 10.3%.
AVS6.7% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.2% to 10.2%.
Az3.4% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 6.9%.
IV2.1% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.6%.
+Europa2.0% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.5%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.5%.

Totals and other entries

Indecisi - Astensione45.2%
Altri3.9%

Collection and processing: Metodologia C.A.W.I.
How the sample was formed: Campione casuale nazionale rappresentativo della popolazione italiana maggiorenne secondo genere, età, livello di scolarità, area geografica di residenza, dimensione del comune di residenza
People interviewed: Consistenza numerica campione intervistati: (800 interviste): 800 intervistati (interviste valide) - numero dei non rispondenti/rifiuti all'intervista: 1.552 - totale contatti effettuati: 2.352
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia, di 18 anni e oltre di entrambi i sessi appartenenti a qualsiasi condizione sociale 50.352.061 (Fonte Istat 2026)
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Termometro Politico

15 September 2026 – 17 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: True Data

Cosa voterebbe se domani ci fossero le elezioni politiche?

Published: 18 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.7%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 44.1%
Centre-right41.1%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.4%
Unaligned7.5%Az · other lists

FdI27.1% ± 3.0Indicative band: 24.1% to 30.1%.
PD21.4% ± 3.0Indicative band: 18.4% to 24.4%.
M5S12.4% ± 3.0Indicative band: 9.4% to 15.4%.
FI7.6% ± 3.0Indicative band: 4.6% to 10.6%.
FN7.3% ± 3.0Indicative band: 4.3% to 10.3%.
AVS6.2% ± 3.0Indicative band: 3.2% to 9.2%.
Lega5.3% ± 3.0Indicative band: 2.3% to 8.3%.
Az2.8% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.8%.
IV2.4% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.4%.
+Europa1.7% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.7%.
Cd'I-NM1.1% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.

Totals and other entries

Altri4.7%

Collection and processing: Metodologia CAWI. Interviste web. Elaborazioni SPSS
How the sample was formed: Campione rappresentativo dell'universo di riferimento per sesso, età, area geografica e condizione professionale – Campionamento probabilistico - Ponderazione dei dati per il riporto alle proporzioni presenti nell’universo di riferimento
People interviewed: 2400 casi. Indecisi/Astenuti dichiarati: 4% del campione. Data la natura del sondaggio non ci sono rifiuti
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia avente diritto al voto
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

SWG S.p.A.

9 September 2026 – 14 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: La7

Se dovesse votare oggi alle elezioni nazionali, a quale dei seguenti partiti darebbe il suo voto più probabilmente?

Published: 14 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.5%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 44.0%
Centre-right40.4%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.3%
Unaligned7.7%Az · ScN · other lists

FdI27.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 24.2% to 29.8%.
PD20.9% ± 2.8Indicative band: 18.1% to 23.7%.
M5S12.6% ± 2.8Indicative band: 9.8% to 15.4%.
FN7.9% ± 2.8Indicative band: 5.1% to 10.7%.
FI6.9% ± 2.8Indicative band: 4.1% to 9.7%.
AVS6.7% ± 2.8Indicative band: 3.9% to 9.5%.
Lega5.5% ± 2.8Indicative band: 2.7% to 8.3%.
Az3.1% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.3% to 5.9%.
IV2.5% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.3%.
+Europa1.3% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 3.8%.
ScN1.0% ± 2.8Indicative band: 0.0% to 3.8%.

Totals and other entries

Non Si Esprime28.0%
Altre Liste3.6%

Collection and processing: sondaggio realizzato con tecnica di rilevazione online CAWI, telefonica CATI e CAMI
How the sample was formed: stratificato per zona di residenza e quote per età e genere e ponderato successivamente per le variabili di età, genere, zona di residenza, studio e voto alle ultime elezioni europee
People interviewed: Consistenza numerica campione intervistati: 1200 intervistati, 4175 non rispondenti
Reference universe: italiana maggiorenne
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Only Numbers

14 September 2026 – 14 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: Rai. Porta a Porta

Intenzioni di Voto

Published: 15 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.1%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 43.2%
Centre-right41.1%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.5%
Unaligned8.3%Az · other lists

FdI26.3% ± 3.1Indicative band: 23.2% to 29.4%.
PD20.7% ± 3.1Indicative band: 17.6% to 23.8%.
M5S11.9% ± 3.1Indicative band: 8.8% to 15.0%.
FI7.5% ± 3.1Indicative band: 4.4% to 10.6%.
FN7.4% ± 3.1Indicative band: 4.3% to 10.5%.
AVS6.5% ± 3.1Indicative band: 3.4% to 9.6%.
Lega6.3% ± 3.1Indicative band: 3.2% to 9.4%.
Az3.3% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.2% to 6.4%.
IV2.1% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.2%.
+Europa2.0% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.1%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.

Totals and other entries

Indecisi - Astensione44.5%
Altri5.0%

Collection and processing: Metodologia C.A.T.I.-C.A.M.I.-C.A.W.I.
How the sample was formed: Campione casuale nazionale rappresentativo della popolazione italiana maggiorenne secondo genere, età, livello di scolarità, area geografica di residenza, dimensione del comune di residenza
People interviewed: Consistenza numerica campione intervistati: (1.000 interviste): 1.000 intervistati (interviste valide) - numero dei non rispondenti/rifiuti all'intervista: 1.587 - totale contatti effettuati: 2.587
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia, di 18 anni e oltre di entrambi i sessi appartenenti a qualsiasi condizione sociale 50.352.061 (Fonte Istat 2026)
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Istituto Ixè S.r.l.

3 September 2026 – 10 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: Istituto Ixè S.r.l.

E se dovesse votare domani per le elezioni Politiche, a quale dei seguenti partiti darebbe il suo voto?

Published: 10 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left44.5%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 46.9%
Centre-right39.3%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 47.4%
Unaligned5.7%Az · other lists

FdI26.1% ± 3.1Indicative band: 23.0% to 29.2%.
PD22.0% ± 3.1Indicative band: 18.9% to 25.1%.
M5S13.6% ± 3.1Indicative band: 10.5% to 16.7%.
FN8.1% ± 3.1Indicative band: 5.0% to 11.2%.
FI7.6% ± 3.1Indicative band: 4.5% to 10.7%.
AVS7.3% ± 3.1Indicative band: 4.2% to 10.4%.
Lega4.6% ± 3.1Indicative band: 1.5% to 7.7%.
Az3.0% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 6.1%.
IV2.4% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.5%.
+Europa1.6% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.7%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 3.1Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.

Totals and other entries

Altri2.7%

Collection and processing: Interviste telefoniche su utenze fisse e cellulari (CATI/CAMI) e interviste on line (CAWI)
How the sample was formed: Campione casuale probabilistico stratificato di 1.000 soggetti maggiorenni rappresentativo rispetto ai parametri di sesso, età e macro area di residenza
People interviewed: 1.000 soggetti maggiorenni (su 6855 contatti complessivi)
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia, di 18 anni e oltre
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Only Numbers

9 September 2026 – 10 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: RTI-Reti Televisive Italiane S.p.A.

Intenzioni di voto

Published: 11 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left40.8%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 43.0%
Centre-right41.9%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 49.2%
Unaligned7.8%Az · other lists

FdI26.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 23.3% to 30.3%.
PD20.8% ± 3.5Indicative band: 17.3% to 24.3%.
M5S11.3% ± 3.5Indicative band: 7.8% to 14.8%.
FI7.6% ± 3.5Indicative band: 4.1% to 11.1%.
FN7.3% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.8% to 10.8%.
AVS6.7% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.2% to 10.2%.
Lega6.5% ± 3.5Indicative band: 3.0% to 10.0%.
Az3.4% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 6.9%.
IV2.2% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.7%.
+Europa2.0% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.5%.
Cd'I-NM1.0% ± 3.5Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.5%.

Totals and other entries

Indecisi - Astensione40.9%
Altri4.4%

Collection and processing: Metodologia C.A.W.I.
How the sample was formed: Campione casuale nazionale rappresentativo della popolazione italiana maggiorenne secondo genere, età, livello di scolarità, area geografica di residenza, dimensione del comune di residenza
People interviewed: Consistenza numerica campione intervistati: (800 interviste): 800 intervistati (interviste valide) - numero dei non rispondenti/rifiuti all'intervista: 1.535 - totale contatti effettuati: 2.335
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia, di 18 anni e oltre di entrambi i sessi appartenenti a qualsiasi condizione sociale 50.352.061 (Fonte Istat 2026)
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Winpoll

2 September 2026 – 10 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: Scenari Politici

«Per quale partito voterebbe alle prossime elezioni politiche?»

Published: 14 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left42.1%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 44.9%
Centre-right38.5%FdI · FI · Legawith FN: 46.1%
Unaligned9.0%Az · Potere al Popolo · other lists

FdI25.5% ± 2.6Indicative band: 22.9% to 28.1%.
PD22.3% ± 2.6Indicative band: 19.7% to 24.9%.
M5S11.2% ± 2.6Indicative band: 8.6% to 13.8%.
FN7.6% ± 2.6Indicative band: 5.0% to 10.2%.
FI7.6% ± 2.6Indicative band: 5.0% to 10.2%.
AVS7.3% ± 2.6Indicative band: 4.7% to 9.9%.
Lega5.4% ± 2.6Indicative band: 2.8% to 8.0%.
IV2.8% ± 2.6Indicative band: 0.2% to 5.4%.
Az2.3% ± 2.6Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.9%.
Potere al Popolo1.5% ± 2.6Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.
+Europa1.3% ± 2.6Indicative band: 0.0% to 3.9%.

Totals and other entries

Altro partito5.2%

Collection and processing: cati, cami, cawi
How the sample was formed: ponderato per genere, fasce di età, voto alle ultime elezioni europee e regione d’Italia
People interviewed: 1500 completate
Reference universe: : popolazione italiana, maschi e femmine dai 18 anni in su, segmentato per sesso, età, proporzionalmente all’universo della popolazione italiana
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

Termometro Politico

8 September 2026 – 10 September 2026

Commissioned and bought by: True Data

Cosa voterebbe se domani ci fossero le elezioni politiche?

Published: 11 September 2026

Coalition totals

Centre-left41.9%PD · M5S · AVS · +Europawith IV: 44.4%
Centre-right41.0%FdI · FI · Lega · Cd'I-NMwith FN: 48.3%
Unaligned7.3%Az · other lists

FdI27.0% ± 3.0Indicative band: 24.0% to 30.0%.
PD21.4% ± 3.0Indicative band: 18.4% to 24.4%.
M5S12.6% ± 3.0Indicative band: 9.6% to 15.6%.
FI7.5% ± 3.0Indicative band: 4.5% to 10.5%.
FN7.3% ± 3.0Indicative band: 4.3% to 10.3%.
AVS6.2% ± 3.0Indicative band: 3.2% to 9.2%.
Lega5.4% ± 3.0Indicative band: 2.4% to 8.4%.
Az2.9% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.9%.
IV2.5% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 5.5%.
+Europa1.7% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.7%.
Cd'I-NM1.1% ± 3.0Indicative band: 0.0% to 4.1%.

Totals and other entries

Altri4.4%

Collection and processing: Metodologia CAWI. Interviste web. Elaborazioni SPSS
How the sample was formed: Campione rappresentativo dell'universo di riferimento per sesso, età, area geografica e condizione professionale – Campionamento probabilistico - Ponderazione dei dati per il riporto alle proporzioni presenti nell’universo di riferimento
People interviewed: 2600 casi. Indecisi/Astenuti dichiarati: 4% del campione. Data la natura del sondaggio non ci sono rifiuti
Reference universe: Popolazione residente in Italia avente diritto al voto
Response rate per question: Not published by the register

The polling blackout

In the fifteen days before polling day it is illegal to publish opinion polls on the outcome of the election. The ban covers websites and is enforced by AGCOM, the communications regulator: in that window this page publishes no data.

Art. 8(1), law 28/2000“In the fifteen days before polling day it is forbidden to publish or otherwise disseminate the results of opinion polls on the outcome of the election and on voters’ political and voting preferences, even where those polls were carried out before the period of the prohibition.”